The chart below plots the average daily production rate (boepd) from monthly production totals. The ranges are diverse due to the range in lateral lengths and subsequent frac jobs.
|Source: SONRIS, MSOGB|
The chart below presents the percent decline in the average daily oil rate from the peak month of production. While the Encana BOE #1H has a 87% decline off of the peak rate, I consider this well the worst case scenario due to the history of the wellbore. Only 1,000,000# of proppant was pumped during the frac job. Over the next few months, the Weyerhaeuser 73H-1 and Horseshoe Hill 10H-1 will show us a lot. The Beechgrove 68H-1 has been erratic due to mechanical issues. The typical 12 month decline rate for the Eagle Ford is 73% and the Haynesville is 85%. The Weyerhaeuser 73H-1 and the BOE #1H are both on artificial lift (rod pump).